As we enter the final stretch of 2025, North Texas real estate is in a significantly different place than it was just a few years ago. Mortgage rates have swung wildly, inventory has surged across the Dallas–Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex, and buyers and sellers are adjusting to a market that’s neither fully hot nor cold.
For those of us living in the 76226 ZIP code, which includes Lantana, Argyle, and parts of Flower Mound, Bartonville, and Northlake, understanding these shifts is key to making informed decisions. Below is a deep dive into what’s happening locally and how it fits into broader North Texas and Texas-wide trends.
1. North Texas Snapshot – Inventory Rising, Prices Holding Steady
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Inventory surge: The North Texas Real Estate Information Systems (NTREIS) reported that new listings grew 6.9 % to 18,431 homes in June 2025 while pending sales fell 5.3 % to 9,705. Inventory ballooned to 52,555 active listings, up 22.7 % from the same month last year. The rise in inventory pushed the months’ supply from 4.5 to 5.5 months, moving the market toward balance.
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Prices are stable: Despite the surge in listings, the median sales price in June 2025 was $380,000, a modest 0.3 % increase year‑over‑year. Homes took 57 days on average to sell, about 18.8 % longer than a year prior.
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Bigger picture: Texas Secure Title Company summarised Q2 2025 by noting that inventory climbed throughout the quarter, peaking above 52,500 active listings, while median prices hovered near $380k. Homes averaged 57 days on market, and the months’ supply increased to 5.5, signs that the frenzy of 2021–2022 is long gone and buyers finally have breathing room.
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2. DFW & Tarrant County – Signs of Balance
Market conditions vary across the metroplex, but a few common themes stand out:
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Fort Worth: In July 2025 the Greater Fort Worth Association of REALTORS® reported that the median price dipped 2.3 % to $337,250 while closed sales increased 4 % year over year. Active listings rose 16.2 % and inventory hovered around four months. Nearby Dallas saw an even bigger jump, with active listings up 30 % and 5.3 months of inventory.
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Tarrant County: The same July report shows Tarrant County moving toward balance: active listings up 18.1 %, closed sales up 1.3 %, and inventory at four months. The median price slipped 1.8 % to $353,550 and homes spent about 47 days on market.
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Expert insight: GFWAR president Paul Epperley notes that the region is “not seeing the same market fluctuations as other major metro areas.” If mortgage rates remain steady, he expects continued stabilization; rate drops could reduce inventory and push prices up.
3. Local Focus – 76226 (Lantana & Argyle)
3.1 Inventory & Sales Activity
According to Movoto’s market dashboard for 76226 (updated 26 Sept 2025):
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Active listings: Approximately 934 homes are currently on the market, with 41 new listings added. That’s a robust level of inventory for this ZIP code.
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Homes sold: 834 properties sold in August 2025, a sharp jump from 537 sales last year.
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Buyer demand: Homes in 76226 are taking longer to sell, with an average of 86 days, compared to 82 days a year ago. This indicates buyers are taking more time and negotiating harder.
3.2 Pricing Trends
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Median sale price: In August 2025, 76226 homes sold for a median price of $575,000. This is down from the highs seen in 2022–2023 but still reflects strong property values for our area.
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Argyle insights: BlueFuse Realty’s September 2025 update reports that the average home value in Argyle is about $605,054, down ~2.4 % year‑over‑year. Redfin data cited in the same report places the median sale price around $975,000, with well‑priced homes selling in roughly 25–35 days. The gap between the median and average shows the diversity of homes here – from entry-level in Lantana or Country Lakes to luxury estates on acreage.
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Price reductions abound: BlueFuse notes a flurry of price cuts in Argyle, 25 reductions in just one week and zero price increases. Sellers are clearly adjusting to buyers’ expectations.
3.3 What This Means for Buyers & Sellers
For buyers:
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More options and less rush. With inventory high and homes spending ~86 days on market, buyers can tour multiple properties, compare prices and negotiate.
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Look for value in price‑reduced listings. Many sellers are adjusting their expectations; BlueFuse advises watching for recent price drops.
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Prepare financing early. Contracts often fall apart when buyers aren’t fully ready; having your pre‑approval and inspections lined up strengthens your offer.
For sellers:
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Price strategically from day one. Overpricing leads to longer market days and eventual price reductions. BlueFuse emphasizes starting at a realistic price to avoid lingering.
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Presentation matters. Staging, curb appeal, and documenting recent updates are essential in a market where buyers are picky.
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Timing still counts. With mortgage rates hovering around the mid-6 % range, motivated buyers are actively seeking opportunities. If you’re ready to sell, don’t wait for “perfect” market conditions – they may tighten if rates drop and inventory shrinks.
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4. Looking Ahead – Q4 2025 Projections
While real estate doesn’t follow a strict calendar, several trends point to what we’re likely to see in the last quarter of 2025:
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Inventory should remain elevated. NTREIS data shows a months’ supply of 5.5 months as of June, and new listings continued to rise through late summer. That means buyers will still have choices.
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Prices are expected to remain stable or experience mild appreciation. Statewide, Ramsey Solutions reports that Texas home prices grew only 0.3 % year‑over‑year in Q1 2025, and the Texas Real Estate Research Center projects the median home price to finish just above $350k by year‑end. For 76226, the mix of entry‑level and luxury properties means values could fluctuate depending on the segment, but a significant drop is unlikely.
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Longer selling timelines will persist. NTREIS reports that Days on Market have increased to 57 across North Texas, and statewide experts note that closing times are lengthening. In 76226, plan to sell within 2–3 months, unless the home is impeccably priced and marketed.
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Mortgage rates are the wild card. If rates dip later this year (as some forecasts predict), buyer demand could surge, tightening inventory and nudging prices up. Conversely, if rates hold or rise, the current balanced conditions are expected to continue.
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Final Thoughts & Your Local Advantage
North Texas has transitioned from a frenzy to a calmer, more balanced market. Inventory is higher, prices have plateaued, and buyers finally have time to think. Yet micro‑markets like Lantana, Argyle, Flower Mound, Highland Village, Frisco, Salina, Southlake, and Colleyville each follow their own rhythm. Luxury estates may sit longer, while move‑in‑ready homes in walkable neighborhoods still attract multiple offers.
Navigating this nuanced environment requires hyper‑local expertise; that’s where our team at Reserve 76 Realty comes in. Whether you’re curious about the top schools in 76226, want to know how your subdivision stacks up against neighboring Flower Mound or Southlake, or need advice on timing your move, we’re here to help. Our approach is fun‑loving yet professional, combining data‑driven insights with a human touch.
Thinking of buying or selling in 76226 or nearby communities? Let’s discuss your goals and develop a strategy that aligns with the market today and tomorrow. Contact us anytime for a complimentary consultation. Cheers to smart moves and happy homes!
